Blue World Employment Situation Report Analysis
Release Date: Usually the first Friday of each month
Release Site: www.bls.gov
Market Impact: VERY HIGH
Management Value: CRITICAL
Friday, October 02, 2015
Last month some moron at the Fed suggested that at 5.1% unemployment the nation was near full employment and a rate hike was on track for September! Pinocchio must have left motivational speaking and headed over to the Fed. Our apologies to inanimate, wooden puppets. We did not mean to suggest you are stupid enough to work for the Fed…
The following contains graphic statistics and strong language that may be too intense for some managers. Business leader discretion is advised.
We’re afraid it’s even worse than it looks. Weak numbers from the prior two months were revised down by 59k. That’s bad enough, but the private sector numbers came down 69k. The private sector total for September 2015 was only 118k. The labor force hemorrhaged another 350k potential workers, and the Not in Labor Force statistic exploded by an unbelievable 579k driving the number of unemployed Americans to more than 94.6M, cratering an already record low participation rate from 62.6 to 62.4!
Wages pulled back. The work week got shorter, and the diffusion index for all industries fell to a precarious 52.9 (50+ indicates expansion.) In addition, manufacturing fell spectacularly into contraction over the last 2 months.
Meanwhile, our esteemed administration is pursuing EPA and tax policy that will further cripple the economy, while Russian bombers are hitting Syria and telling the U.S. to leave the region, as our President lectures us on domestic gun control referring to himself over 28 times in a speech about the tragedy in Oregon…
Full employment? Rate hike? International respect of America? Only in a fairy tale, my friends.
Thanks for reading and, please, stay tuned…
Release Site: www.bls.gov